Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays everyone! Can you believe we're not only in the thick of the holiday season but also nearing the finish line to the regular season? I feel like I blinked back in September and now I'm surrounded by a foot of snow up here in the northeast. While this season has flown by, we do have two more weeks of full-slated NFL action to enjoy before the playoffs, which means we have plenty of games to bet on. Last week, we were strong on the moneyline with a 12-4 mark but were pretty even ATS with a 7-7-2 record. That even translated on our five locks of the week (4-1 SU and 2-2-1 ATS).As we turn our attention to Week 16, we have one game on Christmas and then three on Saturday before a full slate on Sunday. We'll highlight a bunch of these matchups and make picks for every single one of them below. First, however, let's look at our five locks of the week. All via William Hill Sportsbook.Locks of the WeekDetroit at Tampa BaySaturday, 1 p.m. ET (NFLN)Detroit finds itself in a bit of disarray after a positive COVID-19 test on Wednesday revealed that the entire defensive staff and interim head coach Darrell Bevell are . That means there's some uncertainty as to who'll actually be able to coach the when they host the on Saturday. That only adds to the pre sures of preparing for Tampa Bay on a short week for a Detroit team that has lost four of its last five games. The Bucs still look disjointed offensively but were able to mount a comeback against the in Week 15. If they can look more like the club they were in the second half of that game, they should be able to cruise to a double-digit victory here.Projectedscore: Tampa Bay 28, Detroit 17My pick: Tampa Bay -9.5What NFL picks can you make with confidence in Week 16? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? .Miami at Las VegasSaturday, 8:15 p.m. ET (NFLN)This is a game that the desperately need to keep their playoff hopes intact, so there is plenty of motivation heading into Las Vegas. Miami has an NFL-best 11-3 ATS record this season and comes into Saturday covering in four-straight contests. Brian Flores' defense is allowing just 18.4 points per game and leads the league in takeaways (26), which means the will have a tough go of it with whoever they start under center. While the offense has some solid pieces, the defense has been Las Vegas' undoing and why they've lost four of their last five. Jon Gruden's defense is allowing 36 points per game during this five-game stretch, which is the most in the NFL. The Raiders have also gone 0-4 ATS coming Week 16. Given Las Vegas' poor defense, it's hard to not lean with the Dolphins here.Projectedscore: Miami 27, Las Vegas 20Mypick: Miami -3Indianapolis at PittsburghSunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS)I'm not sure how you can have faith in the after Bryan Holaday Jersey what we've seen from them over the past few weeks with their Monday Night Football lo s to the being rock bottom. After starting the year 11-0, they've lost three straight and are averaging just over 16 points per game. They are also 1-4 ATS over their last five contests. They seem like a team that is limping into the postseason and could even lose out on winning the AFC North if they are not careful. As for the , they've won five of their last six including three straight victories. They are also 4-2 ATS over that stretch and are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.Projectedscore: Indianapolis 28, Pittsburgh 14Mypick: Indianapolis -1.5Buffalo at New EnglandMonday, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN)The ' hopes of reaching the playoffs officially died in Week 15 after losing to the Dolphins. Meanwhile, things have never been better for the , who've won the AFC East for the first time since 1995. Given the big discrepancy between these two teams, it's no wonder that the Bills are the road favorites here. What's amazing, however, is that this is the first time since 1999 where Buffalo has been the road favorite in New England. Even with a mediocre offense, the Patriots have been a tough out ATS this season, but Buffalo is just too hot to fade currently. club will come into Gillette Stadium on Monday night covering in six-straight games. They've also won four straight by double-digits. In his career, Josh Allen has covered 72% of his 20 road starts.Projectedscore: Buffalo 34, New England 13Mypick: Buffalo -7L.A. at SeattleSunday, 4:05 p.m. ET (FOX)Los Angeles was able to beat the back in Week 10, 23-16. The Rams gave fits throughout that contest, picking him off twice and sacking him three times. That performance wasn't just a one-off as the Rams have largely dominated Seattle under Sean McVay. They are 5-2 SU against the Seahawks under McVay and are currently 3-0 ATS since the start of last season. L.A. also own a +58 point differential in those games under McVay. More recently, Seattle is 3-7 ATS coming into Week 16 since starting 4-0 ATS. The Rams are 4-0 ATS following their last 4 ATS lo ses, which is noteworthy after being upset by the in Week 15.Projectedscore: L.A. Rams 28, Seattle 24Mypick: L.A. Rams +1.5Rest of the bunchMinnesota at New OrleansProjectedscore: New Orleans 27, Minnesota 24Mypick: Minnesota +7San Francisco at ArizonaProjectedscore: Arizona 28, San Francisco 17Mypick: Arizona -5Atlanta at Kansas CityProjectedscore: Kansas City 33, Atlanta 20Mypick: Kansas City -10.5Cleveland at N.Y. JetsProjectedscore: Cleveland 24, N.Y. Jets 7Mypick: Cleveland -9.5Chicago at JacksonvilleProjectedscore: Chicago 23, Jacksonville 17Mypick: Jacksonville +7.5N.Y. at BaltimoreProjectedscore: Baltimore 28, N.Y. Giants 14Mypick: Baltimore -11Cincinnati at HoustonProjectedscore: Houston 21, Cincinnati 10Mypick: Houston -8Denver at L.A. Projectedscore: L.A. Chargers 24, Denver 23Mypick: Denver +3Carolina at WashingtonProjectedscore: Washington 26, Carolina 21Mypick: Washington -2.5Philadelphia at DallasProjectedscore: Philadelphia 24, Dallas 21Mypick: Philadelphia -2.5Tenne see at Green BayProjectedscore: Green Bay 33, Tenne see 30Mypick: Tenne see +3.5Picks RecordAgainst the spread in Week 15:7-7-2ATS overall:106-108-8Straight up in Week 15:12-4SU overall:149-72-1 J. T. Realmuto Jersey